Round of 16
Paraguay
0–1
Full Time
France
Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia· Ref: Ilgiz Tantashev, Uzbekistan
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
29%
Paraguay
11%
Draw
60%
France
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Paraguay: 4pts, 3 played
- France: 9pts, 3 played
- Paraguay form: WDWL
- France form: WWWW
- H2H: 2 historical matches
Match Statistics
ParaguayFrance
0.15Expected Goals (xG)1.36
24%Possession76%
5 (1)Shots (on target)15 (5)
183 (54%)Passes (accuracy)568 (90%)
2Corners12
13Fouls11
0Yellow Cards3
4Saves1
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJul 4
Paraguay 0–1 France: Dominance Meets Clinical Finishing
France's 1.36 xG vs Paraguay's 0.15 tells the true story of Round of 16 control. Data analysis of World Cup 2026 knockout football.
521 words
Pre-MatchJul 2
Paraguay faces formidable France test in Philadelphia Round of 16
Paraguay vs France in World Cup 2026 Round of 16 analysis. France's perfect group stage record favors them heavily, but Paraguay's defensive resilience offers a path forward.
697 words