Round of 32
Belgium
3–2
Full Time
Senegal
Lumen Field · Seattle· Ref: Said Martinez, Honduras
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
54%
Belgium
15%
Draw
31%
Senegal
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Belgium: 5pts, 3 played
- Senegal: 3pts, 3 played
- Belgium form: WWDD
- Senegal form: LWLL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
BelgiumSenegal
1.80Expected Goals (xG)3.54
52%Possession48%
19 (5)Shots (on target)19 (5)
699 (86%)Passes (accuracy)639 (84%)
4Corners2
22Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
3Saves3
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJul 1
Belgium 3–2 Senegal: Underdog Creation Meets Clinical Finishing
Belgium's 3–2 win over Senegal masks a statistical mismatch: Senegal created nearly twice the expected goals. World Cup 2026 data analysis.
534 words
Pre-MatchJun 29
Belgium vs Senegal: Experience Meets Urgency in Seattle
Belgium and Senegal clash in a Round of 32 knockout at Lumen Field. Our model favors Belgium at 43%, but Senegal's 35% probability suggests a competitive match. World Cup 2026 analysis.
640 words