Round of 32
England
2–1
Full Time
Congo DR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta· Ref: Adham Mohammad, Jordan
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
57%
England
13%
Draw
30%
Congo DR
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- England: 7pts, 3 played
- Congo DR: 4pts, 3 played
- England form: WWDW
- Congo DR form: LWLD
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
EnglandCongo DR
2.04Expected Goals (xG)0.80
60%Possession40%
16 (7)Shots (on target)7 (2)
517 (91%)Passes (accuracy)365 (82%)
5Corners3
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
1Saves5
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJul 1
England 2–1 Congo DR: Dominance Converts to Victory in Atlanta Heat
England's xG superiority (2.04–0.76) justified their Round of 32 win over Congo DR in humid Atlanta conditions. Data analysis of World Cup 2026 match.
520 words
Pre-MatchJun 29
England vs Congo DR: Knockout Football Demands Precision
England face Congo DR in World Cup 2026 Round of 32. Analysis of tactical matchups, venue factors, and why our model gives England 46% win probability despite group stage dominance.
626 words