Round of 32
France crest

France

3–0
Full Time
Sweden crest

Sweden

MetLife Stadium · New-York· Ref: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

57%
France
13%
Draw
30%
Sweden
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • France: 9pts, 3 played
  • Sweden: 4pts, 3 played
  • France form: WWWWW
  • Sweden form: LDLW
  • H2H: 6 historical matches

Match Statistics

FranceSweden
3.17Expected Goals (xG)0.65
61%Possession39%
25 (12)Shots (on target)8 (3)
551 (88%)Passes (accuracy)352 (80%)
9Corners1
14Fouls10
0Yellow Cards0
3Saves9
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 30

France 3–0 Sweden: Dominance by Design in New Jersey

France's 3–0 victory over Sweden was statistically inevitable. An xG disparity of 2.6 left no room for debate in World Cup 2026.

520 words

Pre-MatchJun 28

France's Perfect Record Tested by Resurgent Sweden in New Jersey

France seeks to maintain unbeaten World Cup 2026 run against Sweden in Round of 32 clash. France 55% favorites despite Sweden's recent tactical improvements and home-continent advantage.

759 words