Round of 32
Germany
1–1
Full Time
Paraguay
Gillette Stadium · Boston· Ref: Jalal Jayed, Morocco
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
36%
Germany
24%
Draw
40%
Paraguay
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Germany: 6pts, 3 played
- Paraguay: 4pts, 3 played
- Germany form: LLWW
- Paraguay form: LWDWL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
GermanyParaguay
1.49Expected Goals (xG)0.42
75%Possession25%
21 (6)Shots (on target)7 (3)
799 (90%)Passes (accuracy)257 (63%)
16Corners6
18Fouls12
2Yellow Cards2
2Saves6
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 29
Germany 1–1 Paraguay: Dominance Undone by Clinical Finishing
Germany's xG advantage (1.49–0.42) should have delivered victory. Instead, Paraguay's defensive discipline and Germany's wastefulness produced a World Cup 2026 draw.
534 words
Pre-MatchJun 27
Germany Faces Resilient Paraguay in Round of 32 Showdown
Germany and Paraguay clash in World Cup 2026's Round of 32. Germany enters as favorites despite recent Ecuador loss, while Paraguay seeks upset with disciplined defensive approach.
655 words