Round of 32
Netherlands
1–1
Full Time
Morocco
Estadio BBVA · Monterrey· Ref: W. Sampaio
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
36%
Netherlands
24%
Draw
40%
Morocco
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Netherlands: 7pts, 3 played
- Morocco: 7pts, 3 played
- Netherlands form: LWWD
- Morocco form: WWWWD
- H2H: 2 historical matches
Match Statistics
NetherlandsMorocco
0.23Expected Goals (xG)1.40
30%Possession70%
6 (2)Shots (on target)11 (5)
373 (79%)Passes (accuracy)878 (91%)
5Corners8
18Fouls15
0Yellow Cards1
5Saves1
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 30
Netherlands 1–1 Morocco: Defensive Luck Masks Moroccan Dominance
Morocco's 1.40 xG to Netherlands' 0.23 tells the true story of World Cup 2026's most lopsided draw. Data analysis from Monterrey.
552 words
Pre-MatchJun 28
Netherlands vs Morocco: Knockout Reality Awaits Equal Rivals
Netherlands and Morocco meet as Group Stage equals in World Cup 2026 knockout rounds. Analysis of form, tactics, and our 45% win probability model for the Dutch.
659 words