Round of 32
Brazil crest

Brazil

2–1
Full Time
Japan crest

Japan

NRG Stadium · Houston· Ref: Maurizio Mariani, Italy

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

51%
Brazil
17%
Draw
32%
Japan
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Brazil: 7pts, 3 played
  • Japan: 5pts, 3 played
  • Brazil form: WWWD
  • Japan form: LDWD
  • H2H: 5 historical matches

Match Statistics

BrazilJapan
1.69Expected Goals (xG)0.23
69%Possession31%
19 (7)Shots (on target)5 (2)
682 (92%)Passes (accuracy)315 (83%)
6Corners2
4Fouls13
2Yellow Cards3
1Saves4
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 29

Brazil 2–1 Japan: Dominance Rewarded in Houston Sweat

Brazil's xG superiority (1.69–0.23) validated their Round of 32 win over Japan. Data analysis of World Cup 2026 tactical breakdown and group standings.

584 words

Pre-MatchJun 27

Brazil vs Japan: Seleção's Depth Tests Japan's Resilience

Brazil faces Japan in World Cup 2026 Round of 32. Seleção favored at 47% to advance, but Japan's defensive stability presents genuine threat to knockout progression.

680 words