Group Stage - 3
Senegal crest

Senegal

5–0
Full Time
Iraq crest

Iraq

BMO Field · Toronto· Ref: Anthony Taylor, England

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

55%
Senegal
14%
Draw
31%
Iraq
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Senegal: 3pts, 3 played
  • Iraq: 0pts, 3 played
  • Senegal form: LWLL
  • Iraq form: LLL
  • H2H: 1 historical matches

Match Statistics

SenegalIraq
3.01Expected Goals (xG)0.14
69%Possession31%
28 (12)Shots (on target)6 (1)
590 (88%)Passes (accuracy)266 (69%)
12Corners3
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Saves7
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 26

Senegal 5–0 Iraq: Expected Goals Model Vindicated in Dominant Display

Senegal's 5–0 rout of Iraq in World Cup 2026 group stage backed by xG data: 3.02–0.18 gulf reflects clinical finishing and defensive collapse.

557 words

Pre-MatchJun 24

Senegal vs Iraq: Elimination Looms in Toronto

Senegal and Iraq face knockout scenarios in Group Stage Round 3. Analysis of tactical setups, venue factors, and win probability at BMO Field.

700 words