Group Stage - 3
Türkiye
3–2
Full Time
USA
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood· Ref: Mustapha Ghorbal, Algeria
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
36%
Türkiye
24%
Draw
40%
USA
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Türkiye: 3pts, 3 played
- USA: 6pts, 3 played
- Türkiye form: WLL
- USA form: WLWW
- H2H: 2 historical matches
Match Statistics
TürkiyeUSA
3.05Expected Goals (xG)2.13
47%Possession53%
9 (3)Shots (on target)18 (7)
434 (77%)Passes (accuracy)471 (85%)
2Corners9
13Fouls13
0Yellow Cards1
5Saves1
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 26
Türkiye 3–2 USA: Goals Without Chances in California Upset
Türkiye stun USA 3–2 despite both teams generating zero expected goals. A statistical anomaly that defies xG logic in World Cup 2026 group play.
575 words
Pre-MatchJun 24
Türkiye Faces Elimination Math Against Resurgent USA
Türkiye vs USA at SoFi Stadium in World Cup 2026 Group Stage finale. USA leads standings with 6pts; Türkiye must win to survive.
696 words