Group Stage - 3
Japan
1–1
Full Time
Sweden
AT&T Stadium · Arlington· Ref: Iván Barton, El Salvador
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
38%
Japan
26%
Draw
36%
Sweden
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Japan: 5pts, 3 played
- Sweden: 4pts, 3 played
- Japan form: LDWD
- Sweden form: LDLW
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
JapanSweden
1.21Expected Goals (xG)0.64
52%Possession48%
8 (3)Shots (on target)11 (5)
445 (85%)Passes (accuracy)395 (79%)
2Corners8
20Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
4Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 26
Japan 1–1 Sweden: A Statistical Stalemate in Arlington Heat
Japan and Sweden drew 1–1 in World Cup 2026 Group Stage play. Both teams generated zero expected goals—a rare defensive masterclass in modern tournament football.
548 words
Pre-MatchJun 23
Japan Seeks Knockout Spot Against Sweden in Arlington Showdown
Japan vs Sweden analysis: Group Stage 3 in Arlington. Japan (4pts) favored at 42% to advance; Sweden must overcome Dutch defeat. World Cup 2026 tactical breakdown.
676 words