Group Stage - 1
Portugal crest

Portugal

1–1
Full Time
Congo DR crest

Congo DR

NRG Stadium · Houston· Ref: Abdulrahman Al-Jassim, Qatar

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

41%
Portugal
23%
Draw
36%
Congo DR
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Portugal: 5pts, 3 played
  • Congo DR: 4pts, 3 played
  • Portugal form: WDWD
  • Congo DR form: LWLD
  • H2H: 1 historical matches

Match Statistics

PortugalCongo DR
0.65Expected Goals (xG)0.87
75%Possession25%
7 (1)Shots (on target)8 (2)
783 (92%)Passes (accuracy)249 (78%)
5Corners4
9Fouls10
3Yellow Cards1
1Saves0
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 17

Portugal 1–1 Congo DR: Chaos Disguised as Control

Portugal dominated possession but Congo DR's superior xG reveals a draw that flattered the Portuguese. World Cup 2026 Group Stage analysis.

537 words

Pre-MatchJun 15

Portugal and Congo DR Face Tactical Puzzle in Houston Opener

Portugal faces Congo DR in a group-stage opener with contrasting form. Our model suggests tactical execution will determine the winner in this World Cup 2026 matchup.

651 words