Group Stage - 1
Australia
2–0
Full Time
Türkiye
BC Place · Vancouver· Ref: Jesús Valenzuela, Venezuela
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
46%
Australia
20%
Draw
34%
Türkiye
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Australia: 4pts, 3 played
- Türkiye: 3pts, 3 played
- Australia form: LDLW
- Türkiye form: WLL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
AustraliaTürkiye
1.18Expected Goals (xG)1.36
28%Possession72%
9 (4)Shots (on target)30 (8)
271 (74%)Passes (accuracy)704 (90%)
5Corners8
12Fouls4
0Yellow Cards1
8Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 14
Australia 2-0 Türkiye: Possession Paradox in Vancouver
Australia upset Türkiye despite being outshot and out-expected. Data reveals a clinical finishing display masks a deeper control problem in World Cup 2026.
476 words
Pre-MatchJun 12
Australia vs Türkiye: Group Stage Equilibrium in Vancouver
Australia and Türkiye begin their World Cup 2026 campaigns with evenly matched squads. Our model gives each team 37% win probability in this pivotal Group Stage opener.
677 words