Group Stage - 1
Canada crest

Canada

1–1
Full Time
Bosnia & Herzegovina crest

Bosnia & Herzegovina

BMO Field · Toronto· Ref: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

38%
Canada
26%
Draw
36%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Canada: 4pts, 3 played
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina: 4pts, 3 played
  • Canada form: LWLWD
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina form: LWLD
  • H2H: 1 historical matches
  • Canada host nation advantage

Match Statistics

CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
1.23Expected Goals (xG)0.96
61%Possession39%
13 (4)Shots (on target)8 (3)
421 (74%)Passes (accuracy)271 (63%)
9Corners4
10Fouls20
2Yellow Cards3
2Saves1
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 12

Canada 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina: Possession didn't convert

Canada dominated possession but couldn't break through in a statistically even Group Stage opener. xG analysis reveals why both teams should feel frustrated.

554 words

Pre-MatchJun 10

Canada Hosts Bosnia & Herzegovina in 2026 World Cup Opener

Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina meet in Group Stage 1 at BMO Field. Analysis of home advantage, recent form, and tactical setup for World Cup 2026.

688 words