Group Stage - 3
Uruguay
0–1
Full Time
Spain
Estadio Akron · Zapopan· Ref: Ismail Elfath, USA
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
28%
Uruguay
10%
Draw
62%
Spain
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Uruguay: 2pts, 3 played
- Spain: 7pts, 3 played
- Uruguay form: LDD
- Spain form: WWWD
- H2H: 2 historical matches
Match Statistics
UruguaySpain
0.20Expected Goals (xG)0.86
33%Possession67%
5 (1)Shots (on target)6 (1)
301 (76%)Passes (accuracy)622 (89%)
1Corners6
14Fouls14
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
0Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 27
Uruguay 0–1 Spain: Dominance rewarded as xG gap proves decisive
Spain's 0.86 xG edge over Uruguay's 0.20 translated to a deserved Group Stage win at altitude in World Cup 2026 qualifying.
537 words
Pre-MatchJun 25
Uruguay vs Spain: Knockers Meet Finishers in Guadalajara
Uruguay seeks consistency against Spain in World Cup 2026 group finale. Data favors La Roja, but Uruguay's defensive record offers intrigue.
631 words