Group Stage - 3

Egypt
1–1
Full Time
Iran
Lumen Field · Seattle· Ref: Szymon Marciniak, Poland
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
42%
Egypt
23%
Draw
35%
Iran
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Egypt: 5pts, 3 played
- Iran: 3pts, 3 played
- Egypt form: WDWD
- Iran form: DDD
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
EgyptIran
0.84Expected Goals (xG)1.97
61%Possession39%
15 (3)Shots (on target)13 (4)
589 (87%)Passes (accuracy)367 (77%)
8Corners2
11Fouls16
3Yellow Cards4
2Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 27
Egypt 1–1 Iran: Iran's Dominance Masked by Clinical Finishing Failure
Iran's 1.76 xG dwarfed Egypt's 0.81 in Seattle draw. Post-match analysis of World Cup 2026 group stage upset and tactical breakdowns.
594 words
Pre-MatchJun 25
Egypt vs Iran: Group Stage Decider in Seattle
Egypt seeks to secure knockout progression against Iran in a critical World Cup 2026 group stage clash. Analysis of tactics, form, and venue factors.
691 words