Group Stage - 3
Ecuador
2–1
Full Time
Germany
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford· Ref: Tori Penso, USA
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
39%
Ecuador
25%
Draw
36%
Germany
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Ecuador: 4pts, 3 played
- Germany: 6pts, 3 played
- Ecuador form: LWDL
- Germany form: LLWW
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
EcuadorGermany
1.27Expected Goals (xG)0.65
39%Possession61%
7 (3)Shots (on target)11 (3)
378 (83%)Passes (accuracy)592 (87%)
3Corners2
15Fouls10
3Yellow Cards1
2Saves1
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 25
Ecuador 2–1 Germany: Possession Proved Meaningless in Group Stage Upset
Ecuador stun Germany 2–1 despite 61–39 possession disadvantage. Statistical breakdown of a World Cup 2026 group match where territory meant nothing.
554 words
Pre-MatchJun 23
Ecuador Faces Elimination Pressure Against Rampant Germany
Ecuador vs Germany in World Cup 2026 Group Stage finale. Germany seeks top spot with 6pts; Ecuador fights survival at 1pt. Analysis and preview.
640 words