Group Stage - 2
Portugal
5–0
Full Time
Uzbekistan
NRG Stadium · Houston· Ref: Jalal Jayed, Morocco
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
64%
Portugal
9%
Draw
27%
Uzbekistan
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Portugal: 5pts, 3 played
- Uzbekistan: 0pts, 3 played
- Portugal form: WDWD
- Uzbekistan form: LLL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
PortugalUzbekistan
2.61Expected Goals (xG)0.24
66%Possession34%
17 (9)Shots (on target)7 (2)
624 (90%)Passes (accuracy)327 (80%)
3Corners2
14Fouls15
1Yellow Cards1
2Saves4
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 23
Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan: Expected Goals Vindicated in Houston
Portugal's 5–0 World Cup 2026 victory over Uzbekistan matched their dominant xG (2.44 vs 0.24), delivering a rare case of scoreline matching underlying performance perfectly.
512 words
Pre-MatchJun 21
Portugal Favored Over Uzbekistan in Houston Group Stage Clash
Portugal seeks three points against Uzbekistan in World Cup 2026 group play. Analysis of tactical matchups, venue impact, and probability modeling from Houston.
633 words