Group Stage - 2
Tunisia
0–4
Full Time
Japan
Estadio BBVA · Monterrey· Ref: Istvan Kovacs, Romania
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
31%
Tunisia
14%
Draw
55%
Japan
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Tunisia: 0pts, 3 played
- Japan: 5pts, 3 played
- Tunisia form: LLL
- Japan form: LDWD
- H2H: 3 historical matches
Match Statistics
TunisiaJapan
0.05Expected Goals (xG)2.13
38%Possession62%
2 (0)Shots (on target)11 (5)
354 (80%)Passes (accuracy)583 (89%)
3Corners5
8Fouls15
0Yellow Cards0
1Saves0
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 21
Japan 4–0 Tunisia: Expected Goals Model Nailed the Outcome
Japan's 4–0 victory over Tunisia was no shock to the xG model: 2.07 vs 0.05 predicted exactly this kind of dominance at World Cup 2026.
564 words
Pre-MatchJun 19
Tunisia Faces Elimination Math Against Japan in Monterrey
Tunisia and Japan clash in must-navigate Group Stage Round 2. Analysis of form, tactics, and venue factors for World Cup 2026.
645 words