Group Stage - 1
Ghana
1–0
Full Time
Panama
BMO Field · Toronto· Ref: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
56%
Ghana
13%
Draw
31%
Panama
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Ghana: 4pts, 3 played
- Panama: 0pts, 3 played
- Ghana form: LLDW
- Panama form: LLL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
GhanaPanama
1.31Expected Goals (xG)0.73
38%Possession62%
8 (2)Shots (on target)11 (4)
351 (83%)Passes (accuracy)583 (86%)
2Corners2
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
4Saves2
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 18
Ghana 1–0 Panama: Underdog Win Built on Defensive Ruthlessness
Ghana's 1–0 victory over Panama defied xG models that favored the losers. A clinical finish and defensive discipline secured three points in Toronto.
583 words
Pre-MatchJun 15
Ghana and Panama Open Group Stage in Toronto Stalemate
Ghana faces Panama in World Cup 2026 group play at BMO Field. Our model gives both teams 37% win probability in this evenly matched opener.
725 words