Group Stage - 1
England
vs
08:00 PM UTC
Wednesday, June 17
Croatia
·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
56%
England
25%
Draw
19%
Croatia
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Market consensus (100% weight): 56% / 25% / 20%
- England: 0pts, 0 played
- Croatia: 0pts, 0 played
- H2H: 4 historical matches
Market Probability Analysis6 sources
England
Market: 56%Model: 56%
Draw
Market: 25%Model: 25%
Croatia
Market: 20%Model: 20%
Market efficiency: 94%6 sources · Updated 05:30 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | England | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| FanDuel | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Pinnacle | 56% | 24% | 19% |
| Betfair | 56% | 24% | 19% |
| William Hill | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| DraftKings | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Our Model | 56% | 25% | 20% |