Group Stage - 1
England
4–2
Full Time
Croatia
AT&T Stadium · Arlington· Ref: Clement Turpin, France
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
46%
England
20%
Draw
34%
Croatia
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- England: 7pts, 3 played
- Croatia: 6pts, 3 played
- England form: WWDW
- Croatia form: LWWL
- H2H: 5 historical matches
Match Statistics
EnglandCroatia
3.20Expected Goals (xG)0.70
52%Possession48%
22 (11)Shots (on target)10 (5)
474 (86%)Passes (accuracy)443 (86%)
8Corners2
10Fouls12
0Yellow Cards0
3Saves7
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 17
England 4–2 Croatia: Dominant xG Masked by Clinical Finishing
England's 4–2 victory over Croatia in Arlington was statistically decisive. xG of 2.82–0.53 tells the true story of a dominant performance at World Cup 2026.
562 words
Pre-MatchJun 15
England and Croatia Open Group Stage in Texas Clash
England faces Croatia in a pivotal World Cup 2026 group opener. Our analysis of form, tactics, and venue factors ahead of Wednesday's Arlington fixture.
637 words