Group Stage - 1
Saudi Arabia crest

Saudi Arabia

vs
10:00 PM UTC
Monday, June 15
Uruguay crest

Uruguay

Hard Rock Stadium ·

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

16%
Saudi Arabia
23%
Draw
61%
Uruguay
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Market consensus (100% weight): 16% / 23% / 62%
  • Saudi Arabia: 0pts, 0 played
  • Uruguay: 0pts, 0 played
  • H2H: 1 historical matches

Market Probability Analysis6 sources

Saudi Arabia
Market: 16%Model: 16%
Draw
Market: 23%Model: 23%
Uruguay
Market: 62%Model: 62%
Market efficiency: 93%6 sources · Updated 05:30 PM

Implied Probability by Source

SourceSaudi ArabiaDrawUruguay
BetMGM16%24%61%
FanDuel15%23%61%
Pinnacle16%23%61%
Betfair15%21%64%
William Hill17%24%60%
DraftKings16%22%63%
Our Model16%23%62%