Group Stage - 1
Ivory Coast crest

Ivory Coast

1–0
Full Time
Ecuador crest

Ecuador

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia· Ref: François Letexier, France

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

50%
Ivory Coast
17%
Draw
33%
Ecuador
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • Ivory Coast: 6pts, 3 played
  • Ecuador: 4pts, 3 played
  • Ivory Coast form: LWLW
  • Ecuador form: LWDL
  • H2H: 1 historical matches

Match Statistics

Ivory CoastEcuador
1.52Expected Goals (xG)1.01
48%Possession52%
15 (4)Shots (on target)12 (1)
470 (84%)Passes (accuracy)492 (85%)
3Corners5
10Fouls13
3Yellow Cards1
1Saves3
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 15

Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador: Narrow Win Masks Even Contest

Ivory Coast's 1–0 victory over Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field was decided by fine margins. xG levels (0.73–0.54) suggest either team could have won. World Cup 2026 Group Stage analysis.

527 words

Pre-MatchJun 12

Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: Balanced Opener Tests Group Stage Credentials

Ivory Coast and Ecuador open their World Cup 2026 campaigns in Philadelphia with equal chances. Our model favors neither side in this tactical chess match.

693 words