Group Stage - 1
Germany
7–1
Full Time
Curaçao
NRG Stadium · Houston· Ref: Jalal Jayed, Morocco
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
60%
Germany
11%
Draw
29%
Curaçao
Model confidence:high
Model Inputs
- Germany: 6pts, 3 played
- Curaçao: 1pts, 3 played
- Germany form: LLWW
- Curaçao form: LDL
- H2H: 1 historical matches
Match Statistics
GermanyCuraçao
4.22Expected Goals (xG)0.41
65%Possession35%
26 (12)Shots (on target)8 (2)
637 (87%)Passes (accuracy)343 (82%)
8Corners1
18Fouls11
0Yellow Cards0
1Saves4
0Tackles0
Analysis & Intelligence
Data CrunchJun 14
Germany 7–1 Curaçao: xG tells the true story of dominance
Germany's 7–1 victory over Curaçao was statistically inevitable. xG model predicted 3.90–0.40, scorecard confirmed the gulf in class. World Cup 2026 Group Stage analysis.
573 words
Pre-MatchJun 12
Germany Faces Curaçao in Wide-Open Group Stage Opener
Germany and Curaçao meet in World Cup 2026 Group Stage with balanced win probabilities. Form suggests dominance, but models show unpredictability in early tournament play.
649 words