Group Stage - 1
Haiti
vs
01:00 AM UTC
Sunday, June 14
Scotland
Gillette Stadium ·
Win ProbabilityPre-match model
25%
Haiti
51%
Draw
24%
Scotland
Model confidence:medium
Model Inputs
- Haiti: 0pts, 0 played
- Scotland: 0pts, 0 played
Market Probability Analysis6 sources
Haiti
Market: 14%Model: 25%
Draw
Market: 20%Model: 51%
Scotland
Market: 66%Model: 25%
Market efficiency: 93%6 sources · Updated 04:38 PM
Implied Probability by Source
| Source | Haiti | Draw | Scotland |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| FanDuel | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| Pinnacle | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| Betfair | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| William Hill | 13% | 20% | 67% |
| DraftKings | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| Our Model | 25% | 51% | 25% |
Model vs. Market Divergence
Scotland
Market rates Scotland 44% higher than our model
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Draw
Our model rates Draw 32% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Haiti
Our model rates Haiti 12% higher than market consensus
Largest divergence: FanDuel · Confidence: high
Divergence signals indicate where our statistical model assigns different probability than the aggregate market. This is analytical data only.