Group Stage - 1
USA crest

USA

4–1
Full Time
Paraguay crest

Paraguay

SoFi Stadium · Inglewood· Ref: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Win ProbabilityPre-match model

52%
USA
16%
Draw
32%
Paraguay
Model confidence:high

Model Inputs

  • USA: 6pts, 3 played
  • Paraguay: 4pts, 3 played
  • USA form: WLWW
  • Paraguay form: LWDWL
  • H2H: 4 historical matches

Match Statistics

USAParaguay
1.42Expected Goals (xG)0.54
65%Possession35%
16 (6)Shots (on target)9 (1)
598 (85%)Passes (accuracy)319 (73%)
3Corners1
13Fouls17
1Yellow Cards5
1Saves3
0Tackles0

Analysis & Intelligence

Data CrunchJun 13

USA 4–1 Paraguay: Four Goals From Zero Expected

USA's dominant 4–1 victory over Paraguay defied expected goals data entirely. An analysis of the Group Stage opener from Inglewood.

578 words

Pre-MatchJun 11

USA vs Paraguay: Group Stage Opener Tests American Depth

USA faces Paraguay in World Cup 2026 group stage. Analysis of form, tactics, and venue dynamics with win probability breakdown for this California clash.

660 words